Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 10.579830 11.750059 13.009256 14.467068 16.111020 17.910525 20.033567
2025-08-17 8.563791 10.129933 11.938212 14.189235 16.928465 20.168878 24.315019
2025-08-24 7.195007 8.968313 11.140149 14.015622 17.752137 22.483193 28.990581
2025-08-31 6.230111 8.119588 10.553615 13.953341 18.633609 24.929751 34.175813
2025-09-07 5.624987 7.625682 10.321415 14.272352 20.004811 28.159068 40.889344
2025-09-14 5.012419 7.028697 9.852617 14.168453 20.726304 30.529105 46.699905
2025-09-21 4.461908 6.444118 9.316206 13.871475 21.084671 32.360661 51.921173
2025-09-28 4.052426 6.012841 8.943323 13.753533 21.669480 34.576909 58.066099
2025-10-05 3.844237 5.857413 8.960885 14.232092 23.248366 38.590807 67.913534
2025-10-12 3.649594 5.698888 8.949539 14.649738 24.760858 42.677602 78.568939
2025-10-19 3.412806 5.446871 8.756798 14.730090 25.680799 45.817209 87.944684
2025-10-26 3.161435 5.145795 8.450066 14.570653 26.134478 48.135252 96.056791
2025-11-02 2.915941 4.838201 8.112126 14.334357 26.446665 50.288612 104.373874
2025-11-09 2.694511 4.553099 7.787395 14.087563 26.709898 52.390281 113.010899
2025-11-16 2.509404 4.315794 7.525532 13.929852 27.128546 54.872211 123.012207
2025-11-23 2.357238 4.124354 7.328937 13.875527 27.749101 57.872727 134.858635
2025-11-30 2.267671 4.039529 7.322058 14.196562 29.202216 62.931422 152.902519
2025-12-07 2.134524 3.861634 7.120838 14.095364 29.717597 65.917866 166.218098
2025-12-14 1.991581 3.653541 6.842420 13.801163 29.758920 67.782141 176.893348
2025-12-21 1.880869 3.499084 6.656545 13.684439 30.190963 70.659933 191.065878
2025-12-28 1.839519 3.477864 6.737203 14.160587 32.090030 77.546561 218.716448
2026-01-04 1.793956 3.444270 6.788776 14.576031 33.898266 84.507945 248.429100
2026-01-11 1.720379 3.347639 6.699293 14.656012 34.874735 89.389091 272.742298